McGon’s Picks: NFL Week 3

Maybe if DeShaun Watson started Week 1, I’d still be in this Survivor Pool. And if I had survived Week 1, I probably would have made it to Week 3 based on how my Week 2 picks went.

Image result for deshaun watson texans bengals

Week 2 would have made me some money, and it was even better straight up. I went 9-7 against the spread, and 14-2 straight up. The only two I got wrong were the debacle in Denver, and the missed field goal by Younghoe not so Koo anymore. Here’s a quick look back at the picks I made (team winning in red, spread winner in red).

Texans (+6.5) at Bengals

Browns (+8) at Ravens

Bills (+7.5) at Panthers

Cardinals (-7) at Colts

Titans (-2.5) at Jaguars

Eagles at Chiefs (-5.5)

Patriots (-6.5) at Saints

Vikings (+5.5) at Steelers

Bears (+7) at Buccaneers

Dolphins at Chargers (-4)

Jets at Raiders (-14)

Redskins (+2.5) at Rams

49ers at Seahawks (-14)

Cowboys (-2.5) at Broncos

Packers at Falcons (-2.5)

Lions (+3.5) at Giants

2017 Straight Up: 25-6, 2017 vs. Spread: 16-14-1

Week 3 is now upon us.

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Rams (-2.5) at 49ers

  • Despite losing last week, it’s clear that this Rams team is going to be much more competitive than the team they sent out last year. The 49ers know this could be their best chance all year to get a win, but I’m going to choose the Rams to win and cover over one of two teams who still have not scored a touchdown yet.

Ravens (-3.5) at Jaguars

  • The Ravens have been looking great on both sides of the ball this year. The Jaguars stunned all of us in Week 1, but came back down to Earth a little bit last week. The Ravens will continue their hot start and win and cover over the London Jaguars.

Broncos (-3) at Bills

  • Everyone knew their defense was great, but I do not think anyone thought the Broncos would be this impressive through 2 games. Whether Trevor Siemian will be manageable enough to lead this team to a great season is yet to be seen, but give me the Broncos continuing to start their season hot.

Saints at Panthers (-5.5)

  • The Panthers struggled to score points last week- but the Saints have struggled even more trying to stop opponents. The Panthers have only given up 6 points this year, and if their offense can get clicking, they will for sure be a team to watch out for once again. The strength of the Panthers defense combined with the weakness of the Saints’ defense will lead the Panthers to win and cover.

Steelers (-7.5) at Bears

  • Talk about a tale of two weeks. The Bears went from being a dropped pass away from knocking off the Falcons to getting absolutely crushed by the Bucs. The Steelers looked great last week against Minnesota, so expect the trend to continue and for them to easily win and cover in Chicago.

Falcons at Lions (+3)

  • Upset pick of the week right here. The Falcons looked great last week, but the Lions have impressed two weeks in a row. Matt Stafford is proving he’s worth what he got, and the Lions will continue their hot streak. The Falcons struggled against their previous NFC North opponent, and with this one being much stronger, give me another Stafford 4th quarter comeback as the Lions win.

Browns at Colts (+1)

  • The Browns have only been road favorites 9 times in the past 20 years, and there is a reason why. They have not played bad the last two games, but I do not like the idea of them as road favorites. Jacoby Brissett and the Colts nearly pulled one out against the Cardinals last week, so look for them to get their first victory of the season against a weaker opponent in Cleveland.

Buccaneers at Vikings (EVEN)

  • Sam Bradford’s health is huge in this one, as it is clear how much better the Vikings were in Week 1 than in Week 2. If he plays, expect the Vikings to look much more like their Week 1 selves, and for the Minnesota defense to shutdown the young Bucs offense and get the win.

Texans (+13.5) at Patriots

  • While the Saints are not the greatest test, the Patriots looked much more like their normal selves in Week 2. New England never has problems beating the Texans at home, so they will definitely win this time in Foxborough. However, the Texans defense was much improved last week, and this spread usually indicates the Patriots are hosting a team like the Jets. The Texans should be able to cover the spread in a losing effort.

Dolphins at Jets (+6)

  • The Jets have not looked good at all through two weeks, but that was expected. Taking on their rival Dolphins in their home opener, expect them to keep it interesting and give their fans the idea they might win a game this year. But the Dolphins are a much better team, so expect them to win but not cover.

Giants at Eagles (-6)

  • Whenever OBJ gets completely healthy, don’t be shocked if the Giants break out one week. But I don’t think this is the week. The Giants have looked brutal offensively and the Eagles have impressed in both weeks despite being 1-1. The Eagles will keep the Giants offense stagnant and get the victory while covering in their home opener.

Seahawks at Titans (-2.5)

  • Like most seasons, I think the Seahawks will eventually find their groove and still end up as one of the better teams in the NFC. However, I think their early season offensive struggles will continue in Tennessee. The Seahawks are commonly a weaker road team, so expect Mariota and the Titans to get the victory at home over Seattle.

Bengals at Packers (-9)

  • Honestly, I’m shocked this spread is not higher. The Bengals have looked brutal and have not scored a TD this season, with both games being at home also. Despite being 1-1, the Packers have looked themselves, however, so the same will continue as the Packers will rout the Bengals.

Chiefs (-3) at Chargers

  • The Chargers string of heartbreaking losses from last season has been nothing but the same in 2017. In a division rivalry game against the hot Chiefs, I’m expecting the same. If the spread was Chiefs (-4), I may take the Chargers in the spread to lose by a field goal. However, I’m not predicting the push, so give me the Chiefs winning by one score, but enough the cover.

Raiders (-3) at Redskins

  • The Raiders have looked amazing through two weeks, and I’m expecting nothing different this week. The Raiders finally get to show this team off in prime time, and they will make the most of it and crush the Redskins in Washington.

Image result for derek carr

Cowboys (-3) at Cardinals

  • The game will be very interesting to watch for both teams. The Cowboys are coming off by far their worst performance in the Dak/Zeke era, and the Cardinals have looked weak since David Johnson went down. The rest of the season will be a better implication of how the Cowboys will recover from that loss, but the Cardinals looked bad despite winning against the weak Colts, so expect the Cowboys to bounce back, winning and covering.

Be back next week for Week 4. Maybe by then the Bengals and 49ers will have TDs in 2017.

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