McGon’s Picks: NFL Week 6

Last week, 8 teams were getting 60% or more of the public’s vote. I recommended fading every single one…

Image result for titans bills week 5

…and I went 6-2 in those games.

If what I just implied was not clear: FADE THE PUBLIC. Week 5 was another strong week in what has been an improved season to this point. I went 9-5-1 against the spread, and 10-5 straight up. Here’s a look back at the picks I made (correct pick in blue, incorrect pick in red, push in green):

Colts (+10.5) at Patriots

Jaguars at Chiefs (-3)

Packers at Lions (-1.5)

Titans at Bills (+6.5)

Dolphins (+6) at Bengals

Ravens at Browns (+3.5)

Giants (+6.5) at Panthers

Broncos at Jets (Pick ‘Em)

Falcons (+3.5) at Steelers

Raiders at Chargers (-5.5)

Rams at Seahawks (+7.5)

Cardinals at 49ers (-3)

Vikings at Eagles (-3.5)

Cowboys (+3) at Texans

Redskins at Saints (-5.5)

2018 Straight-Up: 51-25-2, 2018 vs. Spread: 42-33-3

Time to kill your bookmaker in Week 6.

Image result for stu feiner gif

Eagles at Giants (+2)

  • Eagles 34, Giants 13
  • I was in attendance, cheered for the Giants, it was not a fun game
  • 0-2 to start the week

Image result for eagles giants

Seahawks at Raiders (+2.5) (London)

  • Crazy time difference for both teams so I think it’s gonna be a weird game
  • This may be a neutral site, but the Seahawks are notably not the same away from home
  • I think Marshawn Lynch has a day against his former team and the Raiders pull off the upset in London

Image result for marshawn lynch seahawks

Colts (+2) at Jets

  • We all know the Jets; they rarely put two great performances together in a row
  • Andrew Luck is quietly putting up numbers again
  • The Colts are on extra rest, I think they go in and win

Image result for colts jets

Chargers at Browns (-1)

  • Public loves a Chargers team (57% as of Friday night) that is much more proven and stronger on paper
  • Browns have show strength on both sides of the ball with high and low scoring games (you could probably argue that’s also a weakness, but you have to focus on Browns positives when they rarely come about)
  • Browns have covered last two against Chargers including their only win of 2016

Image result for jabrill peppers

Bears at Dolphins (+3.5)

  • Not a lock, but a very easy pick to make in my mind
  • Public loves Bears (60% as of Friday night) who are off to a hot start and coming off their bye
  • Dolphins were comfortably beating a good Bengals team on the road
  • Public implies Bears is a big sucker bet, Dolphins get the upset win

Image result for ryan tannehill

Buccaneers (+3) at Falcons

  • Upset pick of the week
  • Falcons defense cannot stop anyone right now
  • Jameis Winston’s team again, I think they edge out a high scoring win on the road

Image result for jameis winston gif

Cardinals at Vikings (-10)

  • Vikings have found their groove once again since the Bills disaster
  • They’ll return home to crush the Cardinals
  • This could be a sucker bet, but I really think they’re gonna crush them

Image result for kirk cousins

Bills at Texans (-10)

  • This is a lot of points, but the Texans are starting to play better
  • Public loves Buffalo (63% as of Friday night) and the points, I see the Bills keeping it close but the Texans will pull away late to cover

Image result for deandre hopkins

Steelers at Bengals (-1.5)

  • This matchup in Cincinnati is always close
  • Public loves Pittsburgh (65% as of Friday night), the team that usually takes this matchup
  • Steelers dropped a dud after their last win
  • Bengals looked great in the second half against the Dolphins, I think they ride that momentum and edge this one out

Image result for bengals steelers

Panthers at Redskins (+1)

  • This could not feel more like the Redskins Week 3 matchup against the Packers
  • Public loves Carolina (70% as of Friday night) after the Skins got crushed on national TV
  • Panthers exposed last week against lowly Giants, they’ll have the down week they’re due for and the Redskins will win

Image result for josh norman panthers

Rams at Broncos (+7)

  • SO similar to Rams @ Seahawks last week
  • Similar spread, tough road venue for LA, and the public loves the Rams (59% as of Friday night)
  • The Rams will win by less than a score again

Image result for rams broncos

Ravens (-2.5) at Titans

  • First off, I’m shocked the public loves the Titans (68% as of Friday night) after their loss to the Bills
  • The Ravens are an up and down team, they’ll look strong again after a bad performance against the Browns

Image result for ravens titans

Jaguars at Cowboys (+3.5)

  • Trust me, this is not a biased pick, I will acknowledge that the Jags are a much better team
  • I’m simply fading “what should happen” because this feels like one of those games where every single person thinks they know how this game will go, aka the Cowboys will not be able to score any points against this Jags D
  • The Jaguars offense is struggling and the Cowboys defense is not, I see the home Cowboys edging out an ugly, low scoring win at home
  • Oh, and Romo is calling the game. LOCK.

Image result for dak prescott

Chiefs at Patriots (-3)

  • Chiefs are due for a bit of a let down week
  • Pats are finding their groove
  • Patriots always win at home when a lot of people think they may get upset
  • Pats will win and cover in a close one

Image result for tom brady

49ers (+9.5) at Packers

  • Packers are clearly in a funk
  • Jimmy G-less 49ers have a good track record of close losses on the road
  • Packers will win by a TD or less

Image result for 49ers packers

That’s it for this week, be back for Week 7. Who take the most anticipated matchup of the season Sunday night?

 

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