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McGon’s Picks: NFL Week 7

Weeks like Week 6 make me wonder why I even waste my time writing these blogs every week…

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… because after last week, it’s clear that you don’t know what’s coming on any given Sunday this season.

With the amount of upsets that took place last week, I’m grateful that I was busy and I didn’t place action on any of these games. Underdogs went 9-5… STRAIGHT UP. That’s right, 9 underdogs not only covered their spreads, but won the game as well. 7 of these 9 underdogs were also road teams. Also, of the 5 favorites to win, only 3 of them covered. That means favorites were 5-9 straight up, and an abysmal 3-11 against the spread.

As you can imagine… I did not do too hot. But then again, did anyone? Everywhere I looked after the game, expert’s predictions were wrong. I went 5-9, both straight up and against the spread. In all 14 games, I was either right about the spread and cover, or wrong about both, no 1-1. I’ve decided I will now look back on my picks from the week before and make comments on where I went wrong, or simply, why the NFL was unpredictable last week. Here’s a look back at the picks I made (winning team in red, spread winner in red):

Eagles at Panthers (-3.5) 

  • Eagles 28, Panthers 23- Maybe the Eagles are the team I thought the Panthers would be this year? Not writing off the Panthers because of a close loss to a good team. But the Eagles could be for real this year, and I don’t like the look of that. The Cowboys will still see them twice late in the year (I’ll be in Dallas Nov. 19), so it should be an exciting division race if the Cowboys can edge out wins in these high scoring games.

Dolphins at Falcons (-11.5)

  • Dolphins 20, Falcons 17- Don’t even get me started, because this one makes no sense. The Falcons have won a couple of games this year that they could have easily lost, but by no means is it panic time in Atlanta. As for the Dolphins, they came in as arguably one of the worst 2-2 teams of all time. They only scored 6 against the Jets, got shutout by the Saints, yes the Saints, defense, and hardly edged out wins against Young Hoe Koo and Matt Cassel. The Falcons also were up 17-0, so I think there is only one explanation here: the 2017 NFL season (or as PFT said, the Dolphins paid tribute to Chris Foerster by having a nose for the goal line).

Packers (-3) at Vikings

  • Vikings 23, Packers 10 Two words. Aaron. Rodgers. I feel bad for those who bet Packers, but then again, not really because if they picked them the week before as well, then they ruined my Sunday. The Packers are in for a long and frustrating 2017 season.

Lions (+5) at Saints

  • Saints 52, Lions 38- Was this the trap I said it could be? I’ll say no, I don’t want to make excuses. This game was an absolute shootout, and the Lions D did their best impression of the Saints D to let New Orleans cover easily.

Patriots at Jets (+9.5)

49ers (+10) at Redskins

Bears at Ravens (-6.5)

  • Bears 27, Ravens 24 F/OT- The Ravens are clearly not reliable this year, especially since they got off to a 2-0 start. The Bears have looked awful on the road this year, but finally edged one out thanks to Jordan Howard.

Browns at Texans (-9.5)

Buccaneers (-2.5) at Cardinals

  • Cardinals 38, Buccaneers 33- Okay, maybe AP is here to come to the rescue. While their once stellar defense looked horrible in the 4th quarter, the Cardinals offense finally looked like what I thought they could be capable of coming into the year. One game is not enough to say what AP is going to bring, but the Cardinals are only a game out of first, and if they can keep this up, they are a real threat in the NFC West.

Rams (+2.5) at Jaguars

Steelers at Chiefs (-4.5)

  • Steelers 19, Chiefs 13- Once again, talk about a tail of two weeks. The Steelers go from getting crushed at home by the Jaguars to beating the NFL’s last unbeaten team on the road. This Chiefs have been the best team in the AFC this year, but the Steelers proved that come late in the season, they will still be a tough out.

Chargers at Raiders

  • Chargers 17, Raiders 16-This game had not had a spread yet, so I took the Raiders as if they were even (changes to that coming, keep reading). Despite Derek Carr playing, it’s clear he is not 100 percent healthy yet. There’s a clear difference in a Raiders team with a healthy Carr vs. one without him. The Chargers continue to look like last years Chargers, losing heart breakers and getting gritty wins on the road.

Giants at Broncos (-11.5)

  • Giants 23, Broncos 10-You thought the Falcons loss made no sense? Well, this was 10x worse. The Giants came in 0-5, with minimal offensive damage (especially in the run game) done this year. They then lose their top three receivers. Now they are playing in one of the toughest road venues against a defense that held last year’s rushing leader Ezekiel Elliott to 8 yards. Everything pointed towards a Broncos win, even if it was low scoring. And quite frankly, I don’t think there is any explanation.

Colts at Titans

Enough for last weeks losses, time for an unpredictable Week 7.

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Note: While there are no games like this in Week 7, for games whose spreads have not been released yet, I will no longer be making this picks in this blog, and instead will closer to gametime and mention whether I won or lost the following week. Don’t worry, I ain’t a liar. 

Buccaneers at Bills (-1)

  • It will be interesting to see if the Bills, a historically disappointing team, look as strong as they did before their bye week came up. The Bucs have looked awful on the road this year (besides last week’s 4th  quarter), and Jameis may not be 100 percent, so I think the Bills come out looking like they did before their bye week and beat the Bucs at home.

Panthers (-3) at Bears

  • While the Panthers have had their ups and downs en route to their 4-2 record, they are 3-0 away from Carolina. At the same time, the Bears have been a very competitive team at home this year. I think this spread is perfect, and if I had to predict score, I would say Panthers by 3 as well. But I gotta choose one, so I’ll take the Panthers to cover in their close victory.

Titans at Browns (+6)

  • Even though it only lasted a game and a half, there was such a sense of relief when Tony Romo returned in 2015 and took over for Matt Cassel. Therefore, I know how Titans fans are feeling right now. The Titans look back on track and I think they will win, but the Browns need a home win, and a non-dominant AFC team is the perfect one to come in and let the Browns cover, but still beat Cleveland in the end.

Saints (+4) at Packers

  • They may not be this bad, but a good equivalent of what this Packers team could look is what the Raiders have looked like without Derek Carr. The Saints offense has exploded over their last three games, so I expect them to go in and cover against a banged up Packers team.

Jaguars (-3.5) at Colts

  • The odd week Jags are back! The even week Jaguars played like we all knew they would, but they are back for Week 7 to show us what they are capable of. The Jaguars D and Leonard Fournette will take over again, and the Jags will win and cover in Indy.

Cardinals at Rams (-3.5) (London)

  • The game is a hard one to pick, because as great as the Cardinals looked last week, we all know trends like these mean nothing this season. That being said, I think Peterson and the Cardinals come back down to Earth, and the Rams offensive explodes on the Cardinals defense to get the win and cover in London.

Jets at Dolphins (-3)

  • The Jets have shown over the past four weeks that they are better than bad. That being said, a few losses in a row could send them on a trend that most projected them to be on this year. I think the Dolphins build off of their impressive win in Atlanta, and they win a close, low scoring game in Miami, but enough to cover.

Ravens at Vikings (-5.5)

  • What a mess the Ravens have been since starting the season 2-0. The Vikings have also been playing some pretty good football lately, even with Case Keenum at QB. With the Vikings playing at home in a battle of the Purple People Eaters, I think both of these trends continue, and the Vikings easily win at home. (Note: Watch the video. Easily one of the greatest games I have ever watched.)

Cowboys at 49ers (+6)

  • You have to feel for these Niners. Coming into the year projected to be one of the worst teams in the league, the standings reflect that. But they have now lost their last five by 3, 2, 3, 3, and 2, respectively. Combine that with their historic rivalry against the Cowboys, and the close game they played last year, I like them to cover. However, I definitely think the Cowboys will win. The Boys never looked back last year after going down 14-0 in Week 4 in SF, so I’m hoping for the same this season.

“How bout the kid, Dak Prescott?”

Bengals (+5.5) at Steelers

  • Another loss like one to the Jaguars against the Chiefs could have really put a damper on the Steelers season. Their defense is clearly improved this season. I like them to win, but the Bengals played three straight great games before their bye week, so I think they will cover in this division rivalry game.

Broncos at Chargers (-1)

  • With the way the NFL season has gone, I’m gonna consider the Broncos game last week a fluke. That being said, these Chargers look so much like last year’s Chargers, a team who started 0-4 and then hit their peak in the middle of the season. The Chargers have won two in a row on the road, so I think they come back home and win over a Broncos team that struggles on the road.

Seahawks (-4.5) at Giants

  • Don’t let the Giants fool you after last weeks performance. They are still missing so many weapons that gave them chances to win in a few of their games. The Seahawks are coming off their bye, looking to turn their season around to be the more dominant team they are capable of. The Seahawks have had great success at MetLife, including winning Super Bowl XLVIII, and I think they will win and cover on the road.

Falcons (+3) at Patriots

  • Coming into the season, I had the Falcons winning this game, as they had something to prove after dominating the NFL’s best team for 3 quarters in last years Super Bowl. While the Falcons have lost two in a row, the Patriots are very close to being 0-3 at home this season. I think this trend continues, and the Falcons gets revenge in Foxborough.

Redskins (+5) at Eagles

  • The Redskins have had an impressive start to the season, with their only bad performance coming in Week 1 at home to the Eagles. Expect a Redskins team much more ready to play Philly this time. That being said, the Eagles looked great last week, and got an extra few days of rest. The Redskins will keep this one close and cover, but the Eagles will pull it out on Monday night.

That’s all for Week 7, come back for Week 8 when every game went as predicted, of course. Will the Falcons get their revenge?

McGon’s Picks: NFL Week 6

After the Ravens-Jaguars game in London, I tweeted this.

And after last Sunday, I have the same reaction. Will the real Jacksonville Jaguars please stand up?

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The odd week Jaguars have been incredible with blowout wins away from Jacksonville against the Texans, Steelers, and Ravens, who are a combined 8-4 in games not against the Jaguars. The even week Jaguars have been a different story. They got crushed by the Titans at home and lost to the Jets on the road, and these two teams are a combined 3-5 in games not against the Jaguars. This makes the Jaguars a very tough team not only to bet for, but bet against as well. Will the even week Jaguars be back this week? Keep reading to find out.

Week 5 was much better for me than Week 4, but still not nearly as strong as my first two weeks. I went 8-6 straight up, and 7-7 against the spread. Here’s a look back at the picks I made (winning team in red, spread winner in red):

Continue reading McGon’s Picks: NFL Week 6

Don’t Tell Me I Can’t Hate On Aaron Judge Just Because He’s a Good Guy and a Young Star in the MLB

Note: Granted this blog was started by three Yankee fans, but we need some more Yankee hate on this blog. Everyone knows you can’t have a great sports blog without hating on/making fun of teams like the Yankees, Cowboys (unfortunately), Patriots, Warriors, etc.

All Rise, and let me paint a hypothetical for you to start this out. Say you are a standard Yankees fan who lives in the tri-state area. If you are my age, you grew up watching the Red Sox send out David Ortiz, Manny Ramirez, Pedro Martinez, and other players who were on their championship teams in 2004 and/or 2007. Naturally, you hated these guys and those teams, for the most part simply because they were all Boston Red Sox and you hated that team. Flash forward to the last couple of seasons, the Red Sox have brought in young talent such as Mookie Betts, Jackie Bradley Jr., and Andrew Benintendi, just to name a few. All of these guys have been good guys on and off the field, and of course are loved by Red Sox fans. If you are a Yankee fan, you may not hate these guys as much as you hated the 2000s Red Sox (yet), but you naturally root against these guys and hate on them because as good as they may be, they play for the Boston Red Sox.

My point? As a Mets fan, don’t tell me I can’t root hard against Aaron Judge and the rest of the Baby Bombers just because they’re great players.

Continue reading Don’t Tell Me I Can’t Hate On Aaron Judge Just Because He’s a Good Guy and a Young Star in the MLB

Breaking Sports Fans into Tiers

For most of my life, I considered myself to be a die-hard Mets and Devils fan.  After all, any list of the greatest moments of my life include Robin Ventura’s “Grand Single”, the 10-run inning against the Braves, “Henrique, it’s over!!!”, and the Devils’ three Stanley Cups.  The worst moments of my life include Kenny Rogers, Yadier Molina, Stephane Matteau, and Eric Staal.   However, I realized on Sunday that I had watched a total of 5 innings of Mets games since August 16.  That’s right…5!  I didn’t used to be that way.  In 1995 and 1996, 2002 through 2004, and 2009 through 2014 (all Mets seasons with meaningless Septembers); I still watched plenty of Mets games in late August and September.  However, in 2017, I live in a world with Thursday Night Football, lots of football pools, lots of blogs, lots of podcasts, a million shows to binge-watch, and 24/7 coverage of politics.  There were many times since August 16 when I flipped on the Mets, only to see them getting trounced….at which point I would change the channel to something else.  Similarly, in the past three Devils seasons, I generally stopped tuning by early March, as the team was way out of playoff contention.  All of this has made me realize that I’m not a die-hard fan.  I’m a hard-core fan, but I’m not a die-hard.

This got me thinking.  It is time that I separate fans into tiers.  I am leaving football out of the equation, because the once-a-week, 16-game, fantasy/pools/gambling aspect provides too many different variables and scenarios than for the other three sports.  The way I see it; for fans of any MLB, NHL, or NBA team; there are either 6 or 7 tiers of fans.  Let’s dive right in.


Tier I: The Ultimate Die-Hards

I was never actually in this category…even from 1990 through 1992 when I would cry every time the Mets lost.  These are the fans who go to September baseball games of a team that is way out of contention.  They go to March hockey/basketball games for teams out of contention too.  They are willing to spend the time not only to watch these games but to drive to the stadium/arena.  They are also willing to keep spending money to go to these crappy games.  You don’t get more die-hard than this.  Very few people make it into this tier. These are the individual fans you heard when you turned on a mid-week Mets game this September and saw 500 people in the stands.  There is always one guy whose every comment gets picked up by the TV broadcast.  Fans in this tier show either an incredible amount of team loyalty or an incredible lack of a life.  You be the judge.

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Tier II: The Die-Hards

Again, I was in this category until recently.   These “Die-Hards” differ from the “Ultimate Die-Hards” only in that they watch the late-season games on TV.  These fans keep watching, but they at least retain the options to channel-surf in commercials, do chores during games, and avoid spending money for ballpark hot dogs.  This category does cover fans who try to watch every single game regardless of how bad a team is doing.  Congratulations to my parents, who both remain in the “die-hards” category for the Mets.  Over the past month, I have enjoyed getting updates from them about the September Mets.  It’s almost like I was in a foreign country with no access to Mets info….when, in actuality, I was in the same country that allowed me to spend hours every day on metsblog from April through mid-August.  I just had had enough of the Mets by the end of summer.  These fans don’t feel that way.  These fans are devoted enough to the team that they would rather watch a depressing last month of a season than watch anything else.  These are the Mets fans who were devastated in late August that Conforto and Cespedes would be out for the season, when people like me said, “I feel bad for them personally, but the Mets’ season ended weeks ago.  I’m over it.”


Tier III: The Hard-Core Non-Die-Hards

This is where I fall.  We in this group start every season excited about the possibility of a World Series Championship, Stanley Cup, or NBA Championship; regardless of how unlikely it might be.  This is the fourth-straight season in which no reasonable person gives the Devils a shot to win the Cup, but I am excited about the prospect of them shocking the world in June.  Tier-III fans are just like Tier-I/II fans in that all try to watch as many games as possible at the start of the season.  In any of the three groups listed, the fans know who all the players are.  A Mets fan in this group always knows who the fifth outfielder is, which relievers have been pitching well lately, how many pitches a starter pitched his last time out, and so on.  A Devils fan in this group knows the line combinations and defense pairs at any point, has views on what better combinations would be, and who should be getting more or less ice time.  Fans in this group actively think about a team’s game when they cannot watch.  They will take any socially acceptable opportunity to check in on a team’s game when they are unable to watch.

The main difference between Tiers II and III is that Tier-III fans, like me, check out in the last quarter of the season if the team is terrible.  We hold out hope longer than we probably should, but eventually we realize it’s over.  Once that happens, we move on to other entertainment choices.


Tier IV The Halfway-Respectable Bandwagoners

These are the Mets fans who came back into the mix a few weeks into 2006, after a few years off.  They are the fans who jumped back onboard in April of 2015, left for three months, and returned in August of that year.  They are Rangers fans who took off from 1997 through 2005 but jumped backed in when Lundqvist showed up and improved the team that year.  These fans don’t wait until playoff time to root for their teams, but they wait until the team is good to jump back in.  Fans in this group have a major distinction from the first three tiers in that they do not check in daily to see how their team is doing.  They will check in rather frequently, but they are ok with not knowing how their team did last night.  Meanwhile, this statement would be blasphemous to someone from the previous three tiers.


Tier V The Unrespectable Bandwagoners

These are the Yankees fans who showed up out of nowhere this week, the Mets fans who showed up out of nowhere two Octobers ago, and the hockey fans who show up once their “team” makes the second round of the playoffs.  They experience none of the hard work and stress to make it to the most exciting part of the year, but they reap all the benefits.  Worst of all, they usually act like they have been watching the team all year and know what they are talking about.  Essentially, they are like me (and most of America during March Madness).  With March Madness, I gobble up four days of college-basketball analysis between Selection Sunday and the opening Thursday, and then I act like I really know that Stony Brook should match up well against Kentucky.  I like to think it’s cute when we do this for college basketball, but I’m sure college-basketball purists hate it.  Likewise, the Yankees equivalent of this fan will probably spend the Yankees’ entire playoff run spewing lines like, “The Yankees need to make this a bullpen game, because their bullpen is their strength.” “Aaron Judge has really come on after a rough patch in the middle of the season.” and “Joe Girardi needs to be careful not to overmanage”.  These are the three lines that they heard from Francesa, Michael Kay, Sportscenter, or even just a Yahoo! Headline, but these fans are going to milk the three lines for all they are worth.  These people want to sound smart and act like they have been there all along, even if they have no idea where Todd Frazier or Sonny Gray was playing on July 1.  Also, these fans never never ever check to see how a team has been doing, unless they are actually watching the game.

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Tier VI The Absolute Worst

Sorry, Yankees fans, but you have a lot more of these fans most other teams do.  These are the fans that don’t even watch playoff games, but they will tell anyone within an ear shot that they are huge fans of a certain team.  A Yankees fan of this flavor is probably at a bar right now saying, “I love the Yankees.  How can you not love Derek Jeter and Tino Martinez?”  They know absolutely nothing outside of 1 or 2 players who once played for the team…but  they legitimately think they can fool people into thinking they are huge fans. My all-time favorite moment for a Tier-VI person came in 2010.  I was at a bar, and a TV was showing the “Yankees Classics” version of Game 4 of the 1996 World Series.  I overheard a woman say to her friend, “The Yankees are losing 6-0.  This sucks.  I love the Yankees.”  That actually happened.  The TV said “Yankees Classics” in the corner, and the footage was somewhat grainy.  It was actually 2010, but the TV was showing the likes of Wade Boggs, Mariano Duncan, and Tino Martinez on the field.  The girl clearly hoped that a guy would hear her, be impressed, and start talking to her.  It didn’t work.  However, if I were not engaged at the time, I would have been tempted to go up to her and say, “It’s gonna be OK.  The Yankees are gonna tie this at 6 later on, on a 3-run homer by Jim Leyritz, and they’ll win it in extra innings.”  Is there anything sexier than being able to tell the future?  No.  Unfortunately, if my plan had worked, I would have been stuck spending time with a “Tier VI Yankees Fan”, which is as an insufferable a human being as one can find.  Anyway, you get my point.  These fans know absolutely nothing but act like they are huge fans.


Tier Self-Loathing

This tier exists only for a select few teams, and they are the fans who refuse to enjoy anything about their team because they are always waiting for the other shoe to drop.  When good things happen, they say, “Obviously something bad will happen now because these are the ______________.”  You know the teams that have this tier.  The Mets, the Jets, and the Knicks are the main culprits.  I am going to guess that the Browns, Bills, and Maple Leafs have plenty of these fans too.  Don LaGreca and I cannot stand these people.  If you are that miserable rooting for your team, then stop watching.  These are the Mets fans who said in the 2015 World Series, “I knew they’d blow it, because they are the Mets.”  Never mind that they had an incredible run to make it to the World Series.  These are the Jets fans who are already conceding the #1 pick after two wins, because “The Jets don’t even know how to tank right.”  At some point, I plan to write a full post about self-loathing Mets fans, but today is not that day.

And there you have it….my 6-7 tiers of sports fans!

2017 Savage of the Year Winner Already Crowned; Debate is Over

The infamous quote from Anchorman, “I’m going to take your mom [Dorothy Mantooth] out to a nice seafood dinner and NEVER call her again” has been executed, one-upped, and exposed.

I’ve heard of revenge fucks, but holy shit. This guy literally annihilates his former high school bully here. I don’t think any string of words could possibly do this man and his actions justice, but I’ll do my best to try.

Ariel, the mother of the high school bully, went head-over-heels for the former high school dweeb after a few dates and a few romantically intimate nights (they did sex). After no call back from Rob (the savage), Ariel decided to take manners into her own hands. She called Hot 96.9 (ironic the radio station has a 6 and a 9 in it…nice) and tried to locate her lover. It did not go as she planned.

Rob revealed to everyone listening that her dick of a son bullied him throughout high school and once he saw her on the internet, he planned to get revenge on him in the worst way imaginable: “I saw her online, I recognized her last name, turns out her son actually bullied the shit out of me and so I figured if I could fuck his mom I would rub it in his face” (Savage named Rob).

His excuse for doing this to the mom was the most non-chalant take I’ve ever heard from somebody who just embarrassed and humiliated an adult:  “Look, it is what it is”. He goes on to boast how awesome it is that he gets to tell this bully, Sam, that his own mom called a radio station because she needed some more action from him.  There is no coming back from this if you are Sam. The game is over.  No amount of tittie-twisters, locker shoves, wedgies, or nuggies could ever make up for this act. Even retaliation would just seem desperate.  This is the biggest “L” a person can take.

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He then says he took a shit ton of pictures, which is insanely fucked up if she didn’t know and the one part of this that I think this guy went too far with, but with the one-liner to close out this historic performance he says “You were making direct eye contact with it, don’t pretend you didn’t know what was happening”.  Today is definitely a bad day to be a guy named Sam.

Lesson Learned: When they say be kind to everyone, listen. You never know who is going to turn around in 10 years and go fuck your mom.


McGon’s Picks: NFL Week 3

Maybe if DeShaun Watson started Week 1, I’d still be in this Survivor Pool. And if I had survived Week 1, I probably would have made it to Week 3 based on how my Week 2 picks went.

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Week 2 would have made me some money, and it was even better straight up. I went 9-7 against the spread, and 14-2 straight up. The only two I got wrong were the debacle in Denver, and the missed field goal by Younghoe not so Koo anymore. Here’s a quick look back at the picks I made (team winning in red, spread winner in red).

Texans (+6.5) at Bengals

Browns (+8) at Ravens

Bills (+7.5) at Panthers

Cardinals (-7) at Colts

Titans (-2.5) at Jaguars

Eagles at Chiefs (-5.5)

Patriots (-6.5) at Saints

Vikings (+5.5) at Steelers

Bears (+7) at Buccaneers

Dolphins at Chargers (-4)

Jets at Raiders (-14)

Redskins (+2.5) at Rams

49ers at Seahawks (-14)

Cowboys (-2.5) at Broncos

Packers at Falcons (-2.5)

Lions (+3.5) at Giants

2017 Straight Up: 25-6, 2017 vs. Spread: 16-14-1

Week 3 is now upon us.

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Rams (-2.5) at 49ers

  • Despite losing last week, it’s clear that this Rams team is going to be much more competitive than the team they sent out last year. The 49ers know this could be their best chance all year to get a win, but I’m going to choose the Rams to win and cover over one of two teams who still have not scored a touchdown yet.

Ravens (-3.5) at Jaguars

  • The Ravens have been looking great on both sides of the ball this year. The Jaguars stunned all of us in Week 1, but came back down to Earth a little bit last week. The Ravens will continue their hot start and win and cover over the London Jaguars.

Broncos (-3) at Bills

  • Everyone knew their defense was great, but I do not think anyone thought the Broncos would be this impressive through 2 games. Whether Trevor Siemian will be manageable enough to lead this team to a great season is yet to be seen, but give me the Broncos continuing to start their season hot.

Saints at Panthers (-5.5)

  • The Panthers struggled to score points last week- but the Saints have struggled even more trying to stop opponents. The Panthers have only given up 6 points this year, and if their offense can get clicking, they will for sure be a team to watch out for once again. The strength of the Panthers defense combined with the weakness of the Saints’ defense will lead the Panthers to win and cover.

Steelers (-7.5) at Bears

  • Talk about a tale of two weeks. The Bears went from being a dropped pass away from knocking off the Falcons to getting absolutely crushed by the Bucs. The Steelers looked great last week against Minnesota, so expect the trend to continue and for them to easily win and cover in Chicago.

Falcons at Lions (+3)

  • Upset pick of the week right here. The Falcons looked great last week, but the Lions have impressed two weeks in a row. Matt Stafford is proving he’s worth what he got, and the Lions will continue their hot streak. The Falcons struggled against their previous NFC North opponent, and with this one being much stronger, give me another Stafford 4th quarter comeback as the Lions win.

Browns at Colts (+1)

  • The Browns have only been road favorites 9 times in the past 20 years, and there is a reason why. They have not played bad the last two games, but I do not like the idea of them as road favorites. Jacoby Brissett and the Colts nearly pulled one out against the Cardinals last week, so look for them to get their first victory of the season against a weaker opponent in Cleveland.

Buccaneers at Vikings (EVEN)

  • Sam Bradford’s health is huge in this one, as it is clear how much better the Vikings were in Week 1 than in Week 2. If he plays, expect the Vikings to look much more like their Week 1 selves, and for the Minnesota defense to shutdown the young Bucs offense and get the win.

Texans (+13.5) at Patriots

  • While the Saints are not the greatest test, the Patriots looked much more like their normal selves in Week 2. New England never has problems beating the Texans at home, so they will definitely win this time in Foxborough. However, the Texans defense was much improved last week, and this spread usually indicates the Patriots are hosting a team like the Jets. The Texans should be able to cover the spread in a losing effort.

Dolphins at Jets (+6)

  • The Jets have not looked good at all through two weeks, but that was expected. Taking on their rival Dolphins in their home opener, expect them to keep it interesting and give their fans the idea they might win a game this year. But the Dolphins are a much better team, so expect them to win but not cover.

Giants at Eagles (-6)

  • Whenever OBJ gets completely healthy, don’t be shocked if the Giants break out one week. But I don’t think this is the week. The Giants have looked brutal offensively and the Eagles have impressed in both weeks despite being 1-1. The Eagles will keep the Giants offense stagnant and get the victory while covering in their home opener.

Seahawks at Titans (-2.5)

  • Like most seasons, I think the Seahawks will eventually find their groove and still end up as one of the better teams in the NFC. However, I think their early season offensive struggles will continue in Tennessee. The Seahawks are commonly a weaker road team, so expect Mariota and the Titans to get the victory at home over Seattle.

Bengals at Packers (-9)

  • Honestly, I’m shocked this spread is not higher. The Bengals have looked brutal and have not scored a TD this season, with both games being at home also. Despite being 1-1, the Packers have looked themselves, however, so the same will continue as the Packers will rout the Bengals.

Chiefs (-3) at Chargers

  • The Chargers string of heartbreaking losses from last season has been nothing but the same in 2017. In a division rivalry game against the hot Chiefs, I’m expecting the same. If the spread was Chiefs (-4), I may take the Chargers in the spread to lose by a field goal. However, I’m not predicting the push, so give me the Chiefs winning by one score, but enough the cover.

Raiders (-3) at Redskins

  • The Raiders have looked amazing through two weeks, and I’m expecting nothing different this week. The Raiders finally get to show this team off in prime time, and they will make the most of it and crush the Redskins in Washington.

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Cowboys (-3) at Cardinals

  • The game will be very interesting to watch for both teams. The Cowboys are coming off by far their worst performance in the Dak/Zeke era, and the Cardinals have looked weak since David Johnson went down. The rest of the season will be a better implication of how the Cowboys will recover from that loss, but the Cardinals looked bad despite winning against the weak Colts, so expect the Cowboys to bounce back, winning and covering.

Be back next week for Week 4. Maybe by then the Bengals and 49ers will have TDs in 2017.